Torino
Serie A · 2026This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Milan won 1–2.
- Shots
- 8–19
- Shots on target
- 1–4
- Expected goals
- 1.01–1.61
- Possession
- 41%–59%
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Torino: 8 shots, 1 on target, 1.03 xG. Milan: 19 shots, 4 on target, 1.61 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 1.03 xG · Milan 1.61 xG.
Full time
What the match recorded
Milan beat Torino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Torino – Milan): shots 8–19, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 1.01–1.61, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Torino1 matches
- Milan1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Torino
- Competition
- Serie A
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.16 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.66 goals/match
- Expected goals1.19 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.42 xG/match
- Shots11.8 shots/match
- Shots allowed13.8 shots/match
- Shots on target3.97 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.5 shots/match
- Possession44.1%
- Corners3.84 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.68 corners/match
- Cards2.07 cards/match
- Fouls13.9 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency32%
- Scoring frequency71%
Milan
- Competition
- Serie A
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.39 goals/match
- Goals allowed0.92 goals/match
- Expected goals1.55 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.17 xG/match
- Shots13.2 shots/match
- Shots allowed11.5 shots/match
- Shots on target4.37 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed3.68 shots/match
- Possession51.8%
- Corners4.26 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.29 corners/match
- Cards1.79 cards/match
- Fouls10.1 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency39%
- Scoring frequency82%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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