Serie A · 2026
40Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Roma won 4–0.

Shots
179
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.830.28
Possession
61%39%

As it happened

Match timeline

  1. 27'Goal · Donyell Malen Roma
  2. 30'Yellow card · Nicolò Fagioli Fiorentina
  3. 39'Yellow card · Mario Hermoso Roma
  4. 49'Yellow card · Manu Koné Roma
  5. 52'Goal · Donyell Malen Roma
  6. 54'Substitution · Matías Soulé Roma
  7. 60'Goal · Donyell Malen Roma
  8. 62'Substitution · Álex Jiménez Fiorentina
  9. 62'Substitution · Christ Inao Oulaï Fiorentina
  10. 63'Substitution · Moise Kean Fiorentina
  11. 64'Yellow card · Mateo Pellegrino Fiorentina
  12. 68'Substitution · Konstantinos Koulierakis Roma
  13. 68'Substitution · Santiago Castro Roma
  14. 74'Substitution · Rolando Mandragora Fiorentina
  15. 79'Substitution · Neil El Aynaoui Roma
  16. 79'Substitution · Niccolò Pisilli Roma
  17. 80'Substitution · Víctor Valdepeñas Fiorentina
  18. 86'Goal · Niccolò Pisilli Roma

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsRoma 17 shots, Fiorentina 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsRoma 8 shots, Fiorentina 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.83 xG0.28 xGRoma 2.83 xG, Fiorentina 0.28 xG
  • Possession61%39%Roma 61%, Fiorentina 39%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersRoma 2 corners, Fiorentina 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsRoma 15 fouls, Fiorentina 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsRoma 2 cards, Fiorentina 2 cards
  • Passes538 passes343 passesRoma 538 passes, Fiorentina 343 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.9%83.1%Roma 88.9%, Fiorentina 83.1%
  • Shots inside box13 shots3 shotsRoma 13 shots, Fiorentina 3 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks0 blocksRoma 3 blocks, Fiorentina 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves4 savesRoma 4 saves, Fiorentina 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideRoma 1 offside, Fiorentina 1 offside

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Fiorentina): shots 17–9, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.83–0.28, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma
1Draws
1Fiorentina
RomaFiorentina · Serie A40
FiorentinaRoma · Serie A12
RomaFiorentina · Serie A10
FiorentinaRoma · Serie A51
FiorentinaRoma · Serie A22

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Roma1 matches
  • Fiorentina1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Roma

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.55 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.82 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.45 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.04 xG/match
  • Shots13.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.74 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.68 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.63 shots/match
  • Possession56.3%
  • Corners5.16 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.47 corners/match
  • Cards1.91 cards/match
  • Fouls13.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency47%
  • Scoring frequency82%

Fiorentina

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.08 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.32 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.4 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.33 xG/match
  • Shots12.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.5 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.45 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.66 shots/match
  • Possession50.9%
  • Corners4.45 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.58 corners/match
  • Cards2.4 cards/match
  • Fouls12.5 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency71%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Aug 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4