This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Roma won 4–0.
- Shots
- 17–9
- Shots on target
- 8–4
- Expected goals
- 2.83–0.28
- Possession
- 61%–39%
As it happened
Match timeline
- 27'Goal · Donyell Malen Roma
- 30'Yellow card · Nicolò Fagioli Fiorentina
- 39'Yellow card · Mario Hermoso Roma
- 49'Yellow card · Manu Koné Roma
- 52'Goal · Donyell Malen Roma
- 54'Substitution · Matías Soulé Roma
- 60'Goal · Donyell Malen Roma
- 62'Substitution · Álex Jiménez Fiorentina
- 62'Substitution · Christ Inao Oulaï Fiorentina
- 63'Substitution · Moise Kean Fiorentina
- 64'Yellow card · Mateo Pellegrino Fiorentina
- 68'Substitution · Konstantinos Koulierakis Roma
- 68'Substitution · Santiago Castro Roma
- 74'Substitution · Rolando Mandragora Fiorentina
- 79'Substitution · Neil El Aynaoui Roma
- 79'Substitution · Niccolò Pisilli Roma
- 80'Substitution · Víctor Valdepeñas Fiorentina
- 86'Goal · Niccolò Pisilli Roma
This match
Match statistics
Full time
What the match recorded
Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Fiorentina): shots 17–9, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.83–0.28, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Roma1 matches
- Fiorentina1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Roma
- Competition
- Serie A
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.55 goals/match
- Goals allowed0.82 goals/match
- Expected goals1.45 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.04 xG/match
- Shots13.2 shots/match
- Shots allowed9.74 shots/match
- Shots on target4.68 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed3.63 shots/match
- Possession56.3%
- Corners5.16 corners/match
- Corners allowed3.47 corners/match
- Cards1.91 cards/match
- Fouls13.8 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency47%
- Scoring frequency82%
Fiorentina
- Competition
- Serie A
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.08 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.32 goals/match
- Expected goals1.4 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.33 xG/match
- Shots12.9 shots/match
- Shots allowed13.5 shots/match
- Shots on target3.45 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.66 shots/match
- Possession50.9%
- Corners4.45 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.58 corners/match
- Cards2.4 cards/match
- Fouls12.5 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency26%
- Scoring frequency71%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Roma
Lecce
Frosinone
Bologna
Lazio
Torino
Milan