Serie A · 2026Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:45 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0AS Roma
1Draws
1Atalanta
AS RomaAtalanta · Serie A11
AtalantaAS Roma · Serie A10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

0 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

AS Roma

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.55 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.82 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.65 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.89 xG/match
  • Shots13.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.74 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.68 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.63 shots/match
  • Possession56.3%
  • Corners5.16 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.47 corners/match
  • Cards1.91 cards/match
  • Fouls13.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency47%
  • Scoring frequency82%

Atalanta

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.34 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.95 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.31 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.01 xG/match
  • Shots14.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.58 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4 shots/match
  • Possession55.1%
  • Corners5.61 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.16 corners/match
  • Cards1.64 cards/match
  • Fouls11.7 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency34%
  • Scoring frequency79%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples0 / 0home / away teams
Recent samples0 / 0last-five windows
FreshnessUnavailablestale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4
AS Roma vs Atalanta — preview & form | PitchMath