PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Parma 1–1 Monza · Serie A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Parma and Monza drew 1–1.

Shots
716
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.71.7
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma and Monza drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Parma – Monza): shots 7–16, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.7–1.7, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.67 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Monza12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaMonzaBaseline
Shots7.67 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match10.7 shots/match14.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsParma · Monza13.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricParmaMonzaBaseline
Fouls11.3 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match9.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots16 shotsParma 7 shots, Monza 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsParma 3 shots, Monza 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.7 xGParma 0.7 xG, Monza 1.7 xG
  • Possession46%54%Parma 46%, Monza 54%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersParma 6 corners, Monza 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsParma 16 fouls, Monza 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsParma 2 cards, Monza 2 cards
  • Passes347 passes410 passesParma 347 passes, Monza 410 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.1%84.4%Parma 78.1%, Monza 84.4%
  • Shots inside box7 shots13 shotsParma 7 shots, Monza 13 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksParma 2 blocks, Monza 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesParma 4 saves, Monza 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides4 offsidesParma 0 offsides, Monza 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 38′Jay RobinsonGoal · Monza
  2. 41′Michael FolorunshoYellow card · Monza
  3. Half-time
  4. 60′Simone LontaniGoal · Parma
  5. 66′Mandela KeitaYellow card · Parma
  6. 68′Leonardo ColomboYellow card · Monza
  7. 83′Pontus AlmqvistYellow card · Parma
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Parma · 3 player changesMatija Frigan · Vincent Sierro · Lautaro Valenti
  • 54′Monza · 1 player changeAndrea Colpani
  • 55′Parma · 1 player changeSimone Lontani
  • 62′Monza · 1 player changeLeonardo Colombo
  • 77′Parma · 1 player changePontus Almqvist
  • 81′Monza · 3 player changesAdam Bakoune · Mathis Mout · Yvan Maye

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Parma3-5-2
  1. Edoardo CorviG
  2. Diego CarlosD
  3. Emanuele ValeriD
  4. Enrico DelpratoD
  5. Sascha BritschgiD
  6. Mariano TroiloD
  7. Mandela KeitaM
  8. Christian OrdoñezM
  9. Giovanni FabbianM
  10. David RomeroF
  11. El Bilal TouréF
Monza3-4-3
  1. Noel TörnqvistG
  2. Lorenzo LucchesiD
  3. Ricardo MangasD
  4. Samuele BirindelliD
  5. Andrea CarboniD
  6. Eddy KouadioD
  7. Ebenezer AkinsanmiroM
  8. Michael FolorunshoM
  9. Patrick CutroneF
  10. Andrea ColpaniF
  11. Dany MotaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Parma
3Draws
0Monza
Monza — Parma · Serie A1–1
Parma — Monza · Serie A2–1
Monza — Parma · Serie B1–1
Parma — Monza · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma3 matchesMonza3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
0.6 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.52 xG/match
7.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 12.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4.33 shots/match
45%Possession3/345%
3.67 corners/match ●Corners3/33 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParmaMonza
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headParma — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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