PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026
5–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 5–1.

Shots
2111
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
3.930.86
Possession
59%41%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots11 shotsFC Bayern München 21 shots, VfB Stuttgart 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsFC Bayern München 9 shots, VfB Stuttgart 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.93 xG0.86 xGFC Bayern München 3.93 xG, VfB Stuttgart 0.86 xG
  • Possession59%41%FC Bayern München 59%, VfB Stuttgart 41%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersFC Bayern München 9 corners, VfB Stuttgart 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 foulsFC Bayern München 10 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsFC Bayern München 1 card, VfB Stuttgart 3 cards
  • Passes548 passes369 passesFC Bayern München 548 passes, VfB Stuttgart 369 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.8%75.6%FC Bayern München 81.8%, VfB Stuttgart 75.6%
  • Shots inside box14 shots7 shotsFC Bayern München 14 shots, VfB Stuttgart 7 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks4 blocksFC Bayern München 6 blocks, VfB Stuttgart 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesFC Bayern München 3 saves, VfB Stuttgart 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideFC Bayern München 3 offsides, VfB Stuttgart 1 offside

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat VfB Stuttgart 5–1. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – VfB Stuttgart): shots 21–11, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 3.93–0.86, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5FC Bayern München
0Draws
0VfB Stuttgart
FC Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart · DFB Pokal3–0
FC Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga4–2
VfB Stuttgart — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–5
VfB Stuttgart — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–3
FC Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • FC Bayern München1 matches
  • VfB Stuttgart1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

FC Bayern München

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2026
  • Goals scored3.59 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.06 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.95 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.21 xG/match
  • Shots19.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10.5 shots/match
  • Shots on target8.5 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.09 shots/match
  • Possession67.4%
  • Corners6.35 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.53 corners/match
  • Cards1.85 cards/match
  • Fouls8.74 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency35%
  • Scoring frequency100%

VfB Stuttgart

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.09 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.44 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.77 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.49 xG/match
  • Shots15.3 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target6.09 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.71 shots/match
  • Possession57.7%
  • Corners5.68 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.24 corners/match
  • Cards2 cards/match
  • Fouls9.62 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency32%
  • Scoring frequency91%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Aug 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this