PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026
0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07 drew 0–0.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.240.76
Possession
51%49%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 22 shots, SC Paderborn 07 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 4 shots, SC Paderborn 07 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG0.76 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 1.24 xG, SC Paderborn 07 0.76 xG
  • Possession51%49%1. FSV Mainz 05 51%, SC Paderborn 07 49%
  • Corners11 corners2 corners1. FSV Mainz 05 11 corners, SC Paderborn 07 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 8 fouls, SC Paderborn 07 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cards1. FSV Mainz 05 1 card, SC Paderborn 07 2 cards
  • Passes463 passes459 passes1. FSV Mainz 05 463 passes, SC Paderborn 07 459 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.8%83.7%1. FSV Mainz 05 83.8%, SC Paderborn 07 83.7%
  • Shots inside box15 shots6 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 15 shots, SC Paderborn 07 6 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks4 blocks1. FSV Mainz 05 6 blocks, SC Paderborn 07 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves4 saves1. FSV Mainz 05 0 saves, SC Paderborn 07 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offside1. FSV Mainz 05 1 offside, SC Paderborn 07 1 offside

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07 drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – SC Paderborn 07): shots 22–10, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.24–0.76, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • 1. FSV Mainz 051 matches
  • SC Paderborn 071 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

1. FSV Mainz 05

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.29 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.62 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.64 xG/match
  • Shots12.1 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.1 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.15 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.06 shots/match
  • Possession43.9%
  • Corners5.06 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.59 corners/match
  • Cards2.52 cards/match
  • Fouls11 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency12%
  • Scoring frequency71%

SC Paderborn 07

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2025/26
Sample
2 matches
Profile grade
C
Data cutoff
25 May 2026

    How competition percentiles work

    Evidence quality

    How much supports this analysis

    Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
    Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
    Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
    FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
    • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
    • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
    • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

    Known unknowns

    • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
    • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
    • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
    Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4
    Teams1. FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
    CompetitionBundesliga
    MethodHow PitchMath calculates this