This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
SV 07 Elversberg won 3–2.
- Shots
- 11–21
- Shots on target
- 6–4
- Expected goals
- 1.12–1.98
- Possession
- 33%–67%
This match
Match statistics
Full time
What the match recorded
SV 07 Elversberg beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2. Recorded in this match (SV 07 Elversberg – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 11–21, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.12–1.98, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- SV 07 Elversberg1 matches
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.
SV 07 Elversberg
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Season
- 2024/25
- Sample
- 2 matches
- Profile grade
- C
- Data cutoff
- 26 May 2025
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 34 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 25 May 2026
- Goals scored2 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.38 goals/match
- Expected goals1.89 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.35 xG/match
- Shots15.1 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.8 shots/match
- Shots on target5.15 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed5 shots/match
- Possession59.2%
- Corners5.59 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.12 corners/match
- Cards2.31 cards/match
- Fouls8.59 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency24%
- Scoring frequency88%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
SV 07 Elversberg
Borussia M'gladbach
1. FC Union Berlin
1. FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Frankfurt