PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

SV Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 3–1.

Shots
1219
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
0.831.56
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig 3–1. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig): shots 12–19, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 0.83–1.56, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots19 shotsSV Werder Bremen 12 shots, RB Leipzig 19 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsSV Werder Bremen 7 shots, RB Leipzig 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.56 xGSV Werder Bremen 0.83 xG, RB Leipzig 1.56 xG
  • Possession29%71%SV Werder Bremen 29%, RB Leipzig 71%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersSV Werder Bremen 2 corners, RB Leipzig 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsSV Werder Bremen 13 fouls, RB Leipzig 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsSV Werder Bremen 1 card, RB Leipzig 0 cards
  • Passes286 passes689 passesSV Werder Bremen 286 passes, RB Leipzig 689 passes
  • Pass accuracy73.8%88.8%SV Werder Bremen 73.8%, RB Leipzig 88.8%
  • Shots inside box5 shots14 shotsSV Werder Bremen 5 shots, RB Leipzig 14 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks7 blocksSV Werder Bremen 2 blocks, RB Leipzig 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesSV Werder Bremen 3 saves, RB Leipzig 4 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideSV Werder Bremen 4 offsides, RB Leipzig 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Eren DinkçiGoal · SV Werder Bremen
  2. 23′ChukiYellow card · SV Werder Bremen
  3. Half-time
  4. 68′Niclas FüllkrugGoal · SV Werder Bremen
  5. 80′Marco GrüllGoal · SV Werder Bremen
  6. 90′Ridle BakuGoal · RB Leipzig
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 63′RB Leipzig · 1 player changeTidiam Gomis
  • 67′SV Werder Bremen · 2 player changesPaul Erevbenagie · Mick Schmetgens
  • 74′SV Werder Bremen · 1 player changeCédric Itten
  • 75′RB Leipzig · 1 player changeMarc Guiu
  • 83′SV Werder Bremen · 2 player changesSalim Musah · Dariusz Stalmach
  • 84′RB Leipzig · 2 player changesSamba Konaté · Andrija Maksimović

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

SV Werder Bremen4-3-3
  1. Karl HeinG
  2. Olivier DemanD
  3. Amos PieperD
  4. ArthurD
  5. Marco FriedlD
  6. Ludovit ReisM
  7. ChukiM
  8. Youri RegeerM
  9. Niclas FüllkrugF
  10. Marco GrüllF
  11. Eren DinkçiF
RB Leipzig4-3-3
  1. Maarten VandevoordtG
  2. Maxime EstèveD
  3. Willi OrbánD
  4. Ridle BakuD
  5. David RaumD
  6. Ezechiel BanzuziM
  7. Nicolas SeiwaldM
  8. Andrija MaksimovićM
  9. Antonio NusaF
  10. Tidiam GomisF
  11. Christopher NkunkuF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Werder Bremen
2Draws
3RB Leipzig
SV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–2
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–0
SV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–0
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga4–2
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

SV Werder Bremen / RB Leipzig

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSV Werder BremenRB Leipzig
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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