Premier League · 2026

Hull City 2–0 Manchester United · Premier League

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Hull City won 2–0.

Shots
821
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.261.81
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City beat Manchester United 2–0. Recorded in this match (Hull City – Manchester United): shots 8–21, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.26–1.81, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots21 shotsHull City 8 shots, Manchester United 21 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsHull City 4 shots, Manchester United 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.81 xGHull City 1.26 xG, Manchester United 1.81 xG
  • Possession28%72%Hull City 28%, Manchester United 72%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersHull City 1 corner, Manchester United 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsHull City 10 fouls, Manchester United 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardHull City 2 cards, Manchester United 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAyden Heaven · Manchester United · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Giles · Hull City · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Hull City · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Manchester United · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Manchester United · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Manchester United · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBryan Mbeumo · Manchester United · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Manchester United · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCody Drameh · Hull City · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Manchester United · 14′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOli McBurnie · Hull City · 17′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Manchester United · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Manchester United · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAyden Heaven · Manchester United · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Manchester United · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNoussair Mazraoui · Manchester United · 67′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNobel Mendy · Hull City · 38′ · 0.29 xG · goalPatrick Dorgu · Manchester United · 29′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Manchester United · 78′ · 0.35 xG · on targetSemi Ajayi · Hull City · 17′ · 0.84 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG. Manchester United: 21 shots, 5 on target, 1.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Semi Ajayi · Hull City · 17′Nobel Mendy · Hull City · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 1.36 xG · Manchester United 1.82 xG.

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Hull City1 matches
  • Manchester United1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

Hull City

Competition
Championship
Season
2025/26
Sample
49 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.49 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.35 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.29 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.65 xG/match
  • Shots11.1 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.02 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.63 shots/match
  • Possession45.2%
  • Corners4.48 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.88 corners/match
  • Fouls11.2 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency29%
  • Scoring frequency82%

Manchester United

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.82 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.32 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.7 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.27 xG/match
  • Shots15.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.5 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.66 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.66 shots/match
  • Possession51.9%
  • Corners4.74 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.71 corners/match
  • Cards1.63 cards/match
  • Fouls9.76 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency21%
  • Scoring frequency89%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4