UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 17 Sept 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timeGeorgios KaraiskakisFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOlympiacos FCPafos FC
Shots18 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.52 xG/match0.3 xG/match
Possession69%31%
Corners9 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristos Mouzakitis · Olympiacos FC · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStavros Pnevmonidis · Olympiacos FC · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJajá · Pafos FC · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPanagiotis Retsos · Olympiacos FC · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Correia · Pafos FC · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPanagiotis Retsos · Olympiacos FC · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFrancisco Ortega · Olympiacos FC · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiulian Biancone · Olympiacos FC · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Olympiacos FC · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Podence · Olympiacos FC · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristos Mouzakitis · Olympiacos FC · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Podence · Olympiacos FC · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 83′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 68′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPanagiotis Retsos · Olympiacos FC · 69′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDavid Goldar · Pafos FC · 36′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 48′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympiacos FC: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.50 xG. Pafos FC: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympiacos FC 1.50 xG · Pafos FC 0.27 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 17 Sept 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4