This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | Chelsea | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8 shots/match | 9 shots/match▲ |
| Shots on target | 3 shots/match | 3 shots/match |
| Expected goals | 0.93 xG/match▲ | 0.85 xG/match |
| Possession | 56% | 44% |
| Corners | 3 corners/match | 5 corners/match |
| Fouls | 13 fouls/match | 14 fouls/match |
30-second read
What the record shows
The clearest recorded pattern is: Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Benfica's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
Chelsea show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakChelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Chelsea | Benfica | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | — | 13.7 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
| Shots against | — | 9.67 shots/match | 13.3 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Benfica have a visible away split
weakBenfica's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10.7 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Metric comparison
Values, percentiles and samples
Chelsea favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Benfica in 0 · 14 too close
Style profile
How the teams compare
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Recent form
Season, last 10 and last 5
Window
Last 5
Window
Last 10
Window
Season
Venue split
Home and away samples
Window
Home team at home / away team away
Schedule context
Rest and recent workload
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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