Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 17 Aug 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeBasaksehir Fatih Terim StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBaşakşehir FKKayserispor
Shots13 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.84 xG/match0.42 xG/match
Possession57%43%
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Eldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 57′ · 0.00 xG · on targetOnur Bulut · Başakşehir FK · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuno Da Costa · Başakşehir FK · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIvan Brnić · Başakşehir FK · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuno Da Costa · Başakşehir FK · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Kayserispor · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFesty Ebosele · Başakşehir FK · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 13′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIvan Brnić · Başakşehir FK · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYaw Ackah · Kayserispor · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetÖmer Faruk Beyaz · Başakşehir FK · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIvan Brnić · Başakşehir FK · 66′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 68′ · 0.11 xG · goalLéo Duarte · Başakşehir FK · 58′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIvan Brnić · Başakşehir FK · 41′ · 0.26 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Başakşehir FK: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.79 xG. Kayserispor: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Ivan Brnić · Başakşehir FK · 41′Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Başakşehir FK 0.79 xG · Kayserispor 0.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Aug 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4