Championship · 2025Fri, 8 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeSt. Andrew's @ Knighthead ParkFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBirmingham CityIpswich Town
Shots11 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.38 xG/match1.31 xG/match
Possession51%49%
Corners1 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match22 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKeshi Anderson · Birmingham City · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSeung Ho Paik · Birmingham City · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlex Cochrane · Birmingham City · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeif Davis · Ipswich Town · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 40′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · Birmingham City · 55′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 25′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 85′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · Birmingham City · 22′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 55′ · 0.47 xG · goalGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Birmingham City: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.18 xG. Ipswich Town: 7 shots, 1 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 55′George Hirst · Ipswich Town · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Birmingham City 1.18 xG · Ipswich Town 1.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Birmingham City
1Draws
1Ipswich Town
Ipswich TownBirmingham City · Championship31
Birmingham CityIpswich Town · Championship22

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 8 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
Birmingham City vs Ipswich Town — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath