West Bromwich Albion beat Wrexham 3–2. Recorded in this match (Wrexham – West Bromwich Albion): shots 15–17, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 2.01–2.37, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
WrexhamWest Bromwich Albion
Shots15 shots17 shotsWrexham 15 shots, West Bromwich Albion 17 shots
Shots on target3 shots5 shotsWrexham 3 shots, West Bromwich Albion 5 shots
Possession51%49%Wrexham 51%, West Bromwich Albion 49%
Corners5 corners5 cornersWrexham 5 corners, West Bromwich Albion 5 corners
Fouls5 fouls7 foulsWrexham 5 fouls, West Bromwich Albion 7 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
West Bromwich Albion← attackingattacking →Wrexham
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Wrexham: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.97 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.31 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Wrexham1.97 xGWest Bromwich Albion2.31 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wrexham 1.97 xG · West Bromwich Albion 2.31 xG.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
Wrexham / West Bromwich Albion
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Aug 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4