PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 1

1–1Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Incheon United and Daejeon Hana Citizen drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: daejeon Hana Citizen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Daejeon Hana Citizen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Daejeon Hana Citizen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Incheon United
1Draws
3Daejeon Hana Citizen
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Incheon United · K League 10–0
Incheon United — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 11–3
Incheon United — Daejeon Hana Citizen · K League 11–2
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Incheon United · K League 12–1
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Incheon United · K League 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Incheon United favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Daejeon Hana Citizen in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Incheon United28 matchesDaejeon Hana Citizen29 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/291.24 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/171.32 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots21/2212.2 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target21/223.95 shots/match
53.1%Possession21/22● 53.2%
4.52 corners/match ●Corners21/224.41 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2011.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIncheon UnitedDaejeon Hana Citizen
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headIncheon United — Daejeon Hana Citizen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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