PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026

Incheon United 1–1 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors · K League 1

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Incheon United and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Incheon United, Jeonbuk Motors. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Incheon United, Jeonbuk Motors.

4 days ▲Rest daysIncheon United · Jeonbuk Motors5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIncheon UnitedJeonbuk MotorsBaseline
Rest days4 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Jeonbuk Motors's recent record differs from the season

weak

Jeonbuk Motors's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.23 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Incheon United
2Draws
1Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Incheon United — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors · K League 11–0
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors — Incheon United · K League 11–2
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors — Incheon United · K League 10–0
Incheon United — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors · K League 10–1
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors — Incheon United · K League 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Incheon United favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Incheon United25 matchesJeonbuk Hyundai Motors26 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored25/261.23 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed25/26▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/121.41 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots21/22▲ 15.1 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target21/22▲ 5.18 shots/match
53.1%Possession21/22● 57.3%
4.52 corners/matchCorners21/22● 4.64 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2011.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIncheon UnitedJeonbuk Hyundai Motors
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headIncheon United — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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