PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026Jeju World Cup Stadium

Jeju SK 3–3 Incheon United · K League 1

Jeju SK

DDWDW
3–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Jeju SK and Incheon United drew 3–3.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.151.32
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Jeju United FC and Incheon United drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Jeju United FC – Incheon United): shots 13–11, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.15–1.32, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jeju United FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jeju United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsJeju SK 13 shots, Incheon United 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsJeju SK 5 shots, Incheon United 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG1.32 xGJeju SK 1.15 xG, Incheon United 1.32 xG
  • Possession50%50%Jeju SK 50%, Incheon United 50%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersJeju SK 5 corners, Incheon United 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsJeju SK 13 fouls, Incheon United 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Jeju SK
0Draws
2Incheon United
Incheon United — Jeju SK · K League 11–0
Incheon United — Jeju SK · K League 11–2
Jeju SK — Incheon United · K League 10–1
Jeju SK — Incheon United · K League 11–0
Incheon United — Jeju SK · K League 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jeju SK favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Incheon United in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jeju SK21 matchesIncheon United21 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.14 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals12/15▲ 1.64 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots21/2111.7 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target21/214.14 shots/match
46%Possession21/21● 53.1%
3.95 corners/matchCorners21/21● 4.52 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls19/2110.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJeju SKIncheon United
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headJeju SK — Incheon United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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