K League 1 · 2026Bucheon Stadium

Bucheon FC 1995 1–3 FC Seoul · K League 1

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Seoul won 1–3.

Shots
1417
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.862.46
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Seoul beat Bucheon FC 1995 3–1. Recorded in this match (Bucheon FC 1995 – FC Seoul): shots 14–17, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.86–2.46, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bucheon FC 1995's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bucheon FC 1995's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Seoul show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Seoul's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.72 shots/match ▲ShotsBucheon FC 1995 · FC Seoul12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBucheon FC 1995FC SeoulBaseline
Shots9.72 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Seoul have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.5%PossessionBucheon FC 1995 · FC Seoul● 57.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBucheon FC 1995FC SeoulBaseline
Possession39.5%57.6%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots17 shotsBucheon FC 1995 14 shots, FC Seoul 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsBucheon FC 1995 4 shots, FC Seoul 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG2.46 xGBucheon FC 1995 0.86 xG, FC Seoul 2.46 xG
  • Possession31%69%Bucheon FC 1995 31%, FC Seoul 69%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersBucheon FC 1995 5 corners, FC Seoul 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsBucheon FC 1995 13 fouls, FC Seoul 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bucheon FC 1995
0Draws
1FC Seoul
FC Seoul — Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 13–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bucheon FC 1995 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Seoul in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bucheon FC 199518 matchesFC Seoul18 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.72 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.72 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.36 xG/match
9.72 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.06 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 4.17 shots/match
39.5%Possession18/18● 57.6%
3.39 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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