PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 vs Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.271.36
Expected goals
1.461.49
Shots
1312.1
Possession
45.2%51.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarpsborg 08 favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Lillestrøm SK in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarpsborg 0822 matchesLillestrøm SK22 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.41 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals21/221.49 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots21/2212.1 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/224 shots/match
45.2%Possession21/22● 51.2%
5.19 corners/matchCorners21/22● 5.32 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls21/2210.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sarpsborg 08
1Draws
1Lillestrøm SK
Lillestrøm SK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien4–0
Lillestrøm SK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien2–2
Sarpsborg 08 — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien1–0
Sarpsborg 08 — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien3–1
Lillestrøm SK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSarpsborg 08Lillestrøm SK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headSarpsborg 08 — Lillestrøm SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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