PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Bodø/Glimt 4–2 Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien

4–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bodø/Glimt won 4–2.

Shots
2611
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.931.04
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bodø/Glimt beat Rosenborg BK 4–2. Recorded in this match (Bodø/Glimt – Rosenborg BK): shots 26–11, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.93–1.04, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosenborg BK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bodø/Glimt have a visible home split

moderate

Bodø/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.7 shots/match17 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rosenborg BK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rosenborg BK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsBodø/Glimt · Rosenborg BK12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBodø/GlimtRosenborg BKBaseline
Shots17 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against8.22 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots11 shotsBodø/Glimt 26 shots, Rosenborg BK 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsBodø/Glimt 7 shots, Rosenborg BK 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.93 xG1.04 xGBodø/Glimt 2.93 xG, Rosenborg BK 1.04 xG
  • Possession54%46%Bodø/Glimt 54%, Rosenborg BK 46%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersBodø/Glimt 12 corners, Rosenborg BK 2 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls13 foulsBodø/Glimt 4 fouls, Rosenborg BK 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardBodø/Glimt 1 card, Rosenborg BK 1 card
  • Passes577 passes517 passesBodø/Glimt 577 passes, Rosenborg BK 517 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.8%85.3%Bodø/Glimt 89.8%, Rosenborg BK 85.3%
  • Shots inside box19 shots8 shotsBodø/Glimt 19 shots, Rosenborg BK 8 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksBodø/Glimt 7 blocks, Rosenborg BK 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesBodø/Glimt 1 save, Rosenborg BK 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideBodø/Glimt 1 offside, Rosenborg BK 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 11′Dávid ĎurišYellow card · Rosenborg BK
  2. 36′Simen NordliGoal · Rosenborg BK
  3. 40′Fredrik André BjørkanGoal · Bodø/Glimt
  4. Half-time
  5. 58′Fredrik André BjørkanGoal · Bodø/Glimt
  6. 61′Andreas HelmersenGoal · Bodø/Glimt
  7. 77′Andreas HelmersenGoal · Bodø/Glimt
  8. 88′Emil Konradsen CeideGoal · Rosenborg BK
  9. 89′Ole Didrik BlombergYellow card · Bodø/Glimt
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 55′Rosenborg BK · 2 player changesNoah Sahsah · Jonas Mortensen
  • 65′Rosenborg BK · 2 player changesMark Mampasi · Maciej Soboczynski
  • 72′Bodø/Glimt · 1 player changeOle Didrik Blomberg
  • 81′Bodø/Glimt · 3 player changesJoel Mugisha Mvuka · Joshua Kitolano · Isak Dybvik Määttä
  • 89′Bodø/Glimt · 1 player changeUlrik Saltnes

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bodø/Glimt
2Draws
1Rosenborg BK
Rosenborg BK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien2–2
Rosenborg BK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien1–1
Bodø/Glimt — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien4–0
Bodø/Glimt — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien2–3
Rosenborg BK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bodø/Glimt favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Rosenborg BK in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bodø/Glimt18 matchesRosenborg BK18 matches
2.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.5 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.44 goals/match
2.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.41 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots18/1812.8 shots/match
6.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.61 shots/match
64.2% ●Possession18/1851.7%
7.67 corners/match ●Corners18/186.17 corners/match
8.89 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBodø/GlimtRosenborg BK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headBodø/Glimt — Rosenborg BK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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