PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Aspmyra Stadion

Bodø/Glimt 4–0 Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bodø/Glimt won 4–0.

Shots
126
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.150.38
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bodø/Glimt beat Lillestrøm SK 4–0. Recorded in this match (Bodø/Glimt – Lillestrøm SK): shots 12–6, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.15–0.38, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lillestrøm SK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lillestrøm SK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.47 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lillestrøm SK show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Lillestrøm SK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBodø/Glimt · Lillestrøm SK11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBodø/GlimtLillestrøm SKBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against7.63 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bodø/Glimt have a visible home split

moderate

Bodø/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsBodø/Glimt 12 shots, Lillestrøm SK 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotBodø/Glimt 7 shots, Lillestrøm SK 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.38 xGBodø/Glimt 2.15 xG, Lillestrøm SK 0.38 xG
  • Possession58%42%Bodø/Glimt 58%, Lillestrøm SK 42%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersBodø/Glimt 10 corners, Lillestrøm SK 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsBodø/Glimt 11 fouls, Lillestrøm SK 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsBodø/Glimt 0 cards, Lillestrøm SK 2 cards
  • Passes613 passes452 passesBodø/Glimt 613 passes, Lillestrøm SK 452 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.1%83.6%Bodø/Glimt 89.1%, Lillestrøm SK 83.6%
  • Shots inside box10 shots5 shotsBodø/Glimt 10 shots, Lillestrøm SK 5 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockBodø/Glimt 1 block, Lillestrøm SK 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesBodø/Glimt 2 saves, Lillestrøm SK 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesBodø/Glimt 1 offside, Lillestrøm SK 3 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatrick Berg · Bodø/Glimt · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustav Kjolstad Nyheim · Lillestrøm SK · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Berg · Bodø/Glimt · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 25′ · 0.05 xG · goalOle Didrik Blomberg · Bodø/Glimt · 40′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSondre Auklend · Bodø/Glimt · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYlldren Ibrahimaj · Lillestrøm SK · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Gulbrandsen · Lillestrøm SK · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Sjøvold · Bodø/Glimt · 34′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarkus Karlsbakk · Bodø/Glimt · 77′ · 0.10 xG · goalFredrik Sjøvold · Bodø/Glimt · 24′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 63′ · 0.13 xG · goalThomas Lehne Olsen · Lillestrøm SK · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 41′ · 0.17 xG · on targetOla Brynhildsen · Bodø/Glimt · 13′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFredrik André Bjørkan · Bodø/Glimt · 77′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedOle Didrik Blomberg · Bodø/Glimt · 17′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bodø/Glimt: 13 shots, 8 on target, 2.39 xG. Lillestrøm SK: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ole Didrik Blomberg · Bodø/Glimt · 17′Sondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 25′Jens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 63′Markus Karlsbakk · Bodø/Glimt · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bodø/Glimt 2.39 xG · Lillestrøm SK 0.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Bodø/Glimt
0Draws
0Lillestrøm SK
Lillestrøm SK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien0–2
Bodø/Glimt — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien5–2
Lillestrøm SK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien0–5
Bodø/Glimt — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien3–1
Lillestrøm SK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bodø/Glimt favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Lillestrøm SK in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bodø/Glimt16 matchesLillestrøm SK15 matches
2.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/151.47 goals/match
0.69 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/151.2 goals/match
2.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/151.34 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1511.6 shots/match
6.81 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/153.93 shots/match
65% ●Possession16/1551.7%
7.38 corners/match ●Corners16/154.87 corners/match
0.33 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
9.19 fouls/matchFouls16/1510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBodø/GlimtLillestrøm SK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headBodø/Glimt — Lillestrøm SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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