Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesunds FK — Stats & Match Analysis

Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

Sarpsborg 08

LDDDL

vsPre-match analysis

Aalesunds FK

DLWLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.141.57
Expected goals: 1.461.39
Shots: 1315.5
Possession: 45.2%43.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: aalesund's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: aalesund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Aalesund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aalesund's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.57 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aalesund have a visible away split

moderate

Aalesund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	15.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarpsborg 08 favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Aalesunds FK in 5 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarpsborg 0821 matchesAalesunds FK21 matches

1.14 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.57 goals/match

1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/212.19 goals/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.39 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 15.5 shots/match

4.38 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.05 shots/match

45.2% ●Possession21/2143.8%

5.19 corners/match ●Corners21/215.05 corners/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sarpsborg 08

0Draws

2Aalesunds FK

22 Oct 2023Aalesunds FK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien3–2

29 May 2023Sarpsborg 08 — Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien3–1

11 Sept 2022Aalesunds FK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–3

22 May 2022Sarpsborg 08 — Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows