PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Lillestrøm SK vs SK Brann · Eliteserien

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.331.86
Expected goals
1.481.57
Shots
1214
Possession
51.6%58.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: brann's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: brann's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Brann's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brann's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brann have a visible away split

moderate

Brann's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match14 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lillestrøm SK favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · SK Brann in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lillestrøm SK21 matchesSK Brann21 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.52 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.57 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 14 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.86 shots/match
51.6%Possession21/21● 58.5%
5.24 corners/matchCorners21/21● 6.52 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/51 card/match
11 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lillestrøm SK
1Draws
3SK Brann
SK Brann — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien1–2
SK Brann — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–1
Lillestrøm SK — SK Brann · Eliteserien0–2
Lillestrøm SK — SK Brann · Eliteserien0–2
SK Brann — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLillestrøm SKSK Brann
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headLillestrøm SK — SK Brann
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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