PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.690.96
Expected goals
0.750.9
Shots
10.510
Possession
48.2%43.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: san Lorenzo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: san Lorenzo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

San Lorenzo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Lorenzo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.69 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Lorenzo have a visible home split

moderate

San Lorenzo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Lorenzo favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Newell's Old Boys in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Lorenzo29 matchesNewell's Old Boys28 matches
0.69 goals/matchGoals scored29/28▲ 0.96 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/281.39 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲ 0.9 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots29/2810 shots/match
3.66 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/283.32 shots/match
48.2% ●Possession29/2843.8%
3.76 corners/match ●Corners29/283.68 corners/match
2.79 cards/matchCards14/112.45 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2813 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0San Lorenzo
1Draws
0Newell's Old Boys
Newell's Old Boys — San Lorenzo · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSan LorenzoNewell's Old Boys
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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