PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.211.11
Expected goals
1.541.29
Shots
11.610.5
Possession
44.5%44.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: gimnasia L.P.'s last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: gimnasia L.P.'s home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Gimnasia L.P.'s recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gimnasia L.P.'s last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gimnasia L.P. have a visible home split

moderate

Gimnasia L.P.'s home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gimnasia y Esgrima favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 0 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gimnasia y Esgrima29 matchesSarmiento27 matches
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/271.11 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/271.37 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/101.29 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots29/2710.5 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target29/273.78 shots/match
44.5%Possession29/27● 44.6%
3.86 corners/match ●Corners29/273.7 corners/match
3.27 cards/matchCards11/124.25 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2713 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Gimnasia y Esgrima
0Draws
0Sarmiento
Sarmiento — Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGimnasia y EsgrimaSarmiento
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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