PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Central Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.771.23
Expected goals
1.160.98
Shots
10.711.7
Possession
44.2%53.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: central Córdoba's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: central Córdoba's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Central Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Central Córdoba's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Central Córdoba have a visible home split

moderate

Central Córdoba's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Vélez Sarsfield have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.2%PossessionCentral Córdoba · Vélez Sarsfield● 53.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCentral CórdobaVélez SarsfieldBaseline
Possession44.2%53.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Central Córdoba favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Vélez Sarsfield in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Central Córdoba30 matchesVélez Sarsfield31 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored30/31▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed30/31▲ 0.87 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/130.98 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots30/31▲ 11.7 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target30/31▲ 4.06 shots/match
44.2%Possession30/31● 53.2%
4.27 corners/matchCorners30/31● 4.32 corners/match
3.56 cards/matchCards9/102.6 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls30/3111.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Central Córdoba
0Draws
1Vélez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield — Central Córdoba · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCentral CórdobaVélez Sarsfield
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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