PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

River Plate 1–0 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

River Plate won 1–0.

Shots
281
Shots on target
80
Expected goals
1.780.04
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

River Plate beat Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1–0. Recorded in this match (River Plate – Estudiantes de Río Cuarto): shots 28–1, shots on target 8–0, expected goals 1.78–0.04, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.39 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

River Plate show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

River Plate's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRiver Plate · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRiver PlateEstudiantes de Río CuartoBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8.74 shots/match14 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

River Plate have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.3% ●PossessionRiver Plate · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto46.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRiver PlateEstudiantes de Río CuartoBaseline
Possession65.3%46.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots1 shotRiver Plate 28 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1 shot
  • Shots on target8 shots0 shotsRiver Plate 8 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG0.04 xGRiver Plate 1.78 xG, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.04 xG
  • Possession73%27%River Plate 73%, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 27%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersRiver Plate 12 corners, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsRiver Plate 13 fouls, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsRiver Plate 0 cards, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 cards
  • Passes651 passes238 passesRiver Plate 651 passes, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 238 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.4%58.4%River Plate 85.4%, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 58.4%
  • Shots inside box14 shots1 shotRiver Plate 14 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1 shot
  • Blocked shots7 blocks0 blocksRiver Plate 7 blocks, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves7 savesRiver Plate 0 saves, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 7 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideRiver Plate 3 offsides, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1River Plate
0Draws
0Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — River Plate · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: River Plate favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

River Plate31 matchesEstudiantes de Río Cuarto28 matches
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/280.39 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/281.43 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/120.68 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots31/2810.4 shots/match
5.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/282.32 shots/match
65.3% ●Possession31/2846.2%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners31/284.57 corners/match
2.69 cards/matchCards13/102.5 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls31/2812.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRiver PlateEstudiantes de Río Cuarto
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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