PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Rosario Central 1–0 Argentinos Juniors · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rosario Central won 1–0.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.780.4
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rosario Central beat Argentinos Juniors 1–0. Recorded in this match (Rosario Central – Argentinos Juniors): shots 12–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.78–0.4, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Argentinos Juniors have a visible away split

strong

Argentinos Juniors's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.69 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.69 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Argentinos Juniors's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Argentinos Juniors's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.33 corners/matchCornersRosario Central · Argentinos Juniors● 5.86 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRosario CentralArgentinos JuniorsBaseline
Corners5.33 corners/match5.86 corners/match4.23 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsRosario Central 12 shots, Argentinos Juniors 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsRosario Central 6 shots, Argentinos Juniors 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.4 xGRosario Central 0.78 xG, Argentinos Juniors 0.4 xG
  • Possession40%60%Rosario Central 40%, Argentinos Juniors 60%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersRosario Central 5 corners, Argentinos Juniors 9 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsRosario Central 10 fouls, Argentinos Juniors 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardRosario Central 2 cards, Argentinos Juniors 1 card
  • Passes334 passes520 passesRosario Central 334 passes, Argentinos Juniors 520 passes
  • Pass accuracy75.2%88.1%Rosario Central 75.2%, Argentinos Juniors 88.1%
  • Shots inside box10 shots9 shotsRosario Central 10 shots, Argentinos Juniors 9 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks2 blocksRosario Central 0 blocks, Argentinos Juniors 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesRosario Central 3 saves, Argentinos Juniors 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesRosario Central 2 offsides, Argentinos Juniors 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rosario Central
1Draws
0Argentinos Juniors
Argentinos Juniors — Rosario Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rosario Central favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Argentinos Juniors in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rosario Central30 matchesArgentinos Juniors29 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored30/291.14 goals/match
0.93 goals/matchGoals allowed30/29▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.25 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots30/2914.1 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target30/294.93 shots/match
56.8%Possession30/29● 62.7%
5.33 corners/matchCorners30/29● 5.86 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards12/81.75 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls30/2911 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRosario CentralArgentinos Juniors
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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