PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

CA Independiente 1–1 San Lorenzo · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CA Independiente and San Lorenzo drew 1–1.

Shots
238
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.170.43
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

CA Independiente and San Lorenzo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (CA Independiente – San Lorenzo): shots 23–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.17–0.43, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Lorenzo have a visible away split

moderate

San Lorenzo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

CA Independiente's recent record differs from the season

weak

CA Independiente's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.25 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CA Independiente show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

CA Independiente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCA Independiente · San Lorenzo10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCA IndependienteSan LorenzoBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots8 shotsCA Independiente 23 shots, San Lorenzo 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCA Independiente 5 shots, San Lorenzo 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.43 xGCA Independiente 1.17 xG, San Lorenzo 0.43 xG
  • Possession66%34%CA Independiente 66%, San Lorenzo 34%
  • Corners8 corners6 cornersCA Independiente 8 corners, San Lorenzo 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsCA Independiente 12 fouls, San Lorenzo 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsCA Independiente 2 cards, San Lorenzo 3 cards
  • Passes494 passes251 passesCA Independiente 494 passes, San Lorenzo 251 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.6%70.1%CA Independiente 85.6%, San Lorenzo 70.1%
  • Shots inside box10 shots3 shotsCA Independiente 10 shots, San Lorenzo 3 shots
  • Blocked shots11 blocks2 blocksCA Independiente 11 blocks, San Lorenzo 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesCA Independiente 2 saves, San Lorenzo 4 saves
  • Offsides7 offsides0 offsidesCA Independiente 7 offsides, San Lorenzo 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CA Independiente
0Draws
0San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo — CA Independiente · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CA Independiente favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · San Lorenzo in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CA Independiente28 matchesSan Lorenzo28 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.71 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/100.8 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots28/2810.7 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.75 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession28/2849.1%
6.18 corners/match ●Corners28/283.82 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/132.77 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCA IndependienteSan Lorenzo
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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