Rosario Central
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Rosario Central 1–1 Newell's Old Boys · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 12–5
- Shots on target
- 2–2
- Expected goals
- 0.42–0.5
- Possession
- 57%–43%
Full time
What the match recorded
Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rosario Central – Newell's Old Boys): shots 12–5, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.42–0.5, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Newell's Old Boys's recent record differs from the season
weakNewell's Old Boys's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 goals/match | 0.96 goals/match | 1.04 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Newell's Old Boys have a visible away split
moderateNewell's Old Boys's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 7.77 shots/match | 9.88 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
The teams have contrasting possession records
strongRosario Central have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Rosario Central | Newell's Old Boys | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 57.4% | 43.5% | 49.7% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Rosario Central favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Newell's Old Boys in 0 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Rosario Central / Newell's Old Boys
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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