PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Independiente Rivadavia 3–1 Racing Club · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Rivadavia won 3–1.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
3.10.77
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente Rivadavia beat Racing Club 3–1. Recorded in this match (Independiente Rivadavia – Racing Club): shots 19–11, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 3.1–0.77, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independiente Rivadavia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Independiente Rivadavia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 19 shots, Racing Club 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 9 shots, Racing Club 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.1 xG0.77 xGIndependiente Rivadavia 3.1 xG, Racing Club 0.77 xG
  • Possession42%58%Independiente Rivadavia 42%, Racing Club 58%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersIndependiente Rivadavia 3 corners, Racing Club 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsIndependiente Rivadavia 15 fouls, Racing Club 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Independiente Rivadavia
1Draws
0Racing Club
Racing Club — Independiente Rivadavia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Racing Club in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia24 matchesRacing Club26 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/261 goal/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed24/261.04 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/101.02 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/2612.3 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/263.38 shots/match
49.6%Possession24/26● 55.5%
4.42 corners/match ●Corners24/264.31 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/134.31 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2614.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 31 Aug 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaRacing Club
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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