PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Racing Club 1–1 Boca Juniors · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Racing Club and Boca Juniors drew 1–1.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.280.96
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Racing Club and Boca Juniors drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Racing Club – Boca Juniors): shots 14–15, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.28–0.96, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Racing Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Racing Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Racing Club have a visible home split

moderate

Racing Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsRacing Club 14 shots, Boca Juniors 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsRacing Club 5 shots, Boca Juniors 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG0.96 xGRacing Club 1.28 xG, Boca Juniors 0.96 xG
  • Possession51%49%Racing Club 51%, Boca Juniors 49%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerRacing Club 5 corners, Boca Juniors 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsRacing Club 11 fouls, Boca Juniors 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Racing Club
1Draws
0Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors — Racing Club · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Racing Club favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Boca Juniors in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Racing Club25 matchesBoca Juniors25 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.24 goals/match
0.96 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals9/7▲ 1.61 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.32 shots/match
55.4%Possession25/25● 60.4%
4.28 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.2 corners/match
4.31 cards/matchCards13/91.78 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls25/259.92 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Aug 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRacing ClubBoca Juniors
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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