PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Belgrano 1–2 Defensa y Justicia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Defensa y Justicia won 1–2.

Shots
259
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.261.25
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Defensa Y Justicia beat Belgrano Cordoba 2–1. Recorded in this match (Belgrano Cordoba – Defensa Y Justicia): shots 25–9, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.26–1.25, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Defensa Y Justicia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Defensa Y Justicia's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots9 shotsBelgrano 25 shots, Defensa y Justicia 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBelgrano 6 shots, Defensa y Justicia 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.25 xGBelgrano 1.26 xG, Defensa y Justicia 1.25 xG
  • Possession68%32%Belgrano 68%, Defensa y Justicia 32%
  • Corners8 corners0 cornersBelgrano 8 corners, Defensa y Justicia 0 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsBelgrano 7 fouls, Defensa y Justicia 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Belgrano
1Draws
0Defensa y Justicia
Defensa y Justicia — Belgrano · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Belgrano favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Defensa y Justicia in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Belgrano28 matchesDefensa y Justicia24 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored28/241.13 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/241.29 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals11/6▲ 1.47 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots28/2411.7 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target28/24▲ 4.42 shots/match
49.7%Possession28/24● 52.2%
3.57 corners/matchCorners28/24● 4.33 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards12/112 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2410 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBelgranoDefensa y Justicia
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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