PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Sarmiento 2–0 Huracán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarmiento won 2–0.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
1.560.19
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarmiento Junin beat Huracan 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sarmiento Junin – Huracan): shots 18–10, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 1.56–0.19, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Huracan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Huracan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sarmiento Junin have a visible home split

moderate

Sarmiento Junin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsSarmiento 18 shots, Huracán 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsSarmiento 5 shots, Huracán 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG0.19 xGSarmiento 1.56 xG, Huracán 0.19 xG
  • Possession31%69%Sarmiento 31%, Huracán 69%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersSarmiento 9 corners, Huracán 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsSarmiento 14 fouls, Huracán 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sarmiento
0Draws
1Huracán
Huracán — Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarmiento favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Huracán in 8 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarmiento20 matchesHuracán22 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored20/22▲ 1 goal/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed20/22▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/61.13 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots20/22▲ 11.5 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target20/22▲ 3.91 shots/match
46.9%Possession20/22● 52.7%
4 corners/match ●Corners20/223.86 corners/match
4.25 cards/matchCards12/104.3 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls20/2213.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSarmientoHuracán
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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