Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

CA Independiente 0–1 Platense · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Platense won 0–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
0.950.78
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Platense beat Independiente 1–0. Recorded in this match (Independiente – Platense): shots 19–8, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 0.95–0.78, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independiente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Independiente's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Platense have a visible away split

moderate

Platense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Independiente.

5.92 days ▲Rest daysIndependiente · Platense5.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIndependientePlatenseBaseline
Rest days5.92 days5.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsCA Independiente 19 shots, Platense 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsCA Independiente 5 shots, Platense 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.78 xGCA Independiente 0.95 xG, Platense 0.78 xG
  • Possession66%34%CA Independiente 66%, Platense 34%
  • Corners13 corners1 cornerCA Independiente 13 corners, Platense 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsCA Independiente 12 fouls, Platense 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CA Independiente
0Draws
1Platense
CA Independiente — Platense · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–1
Platense — CA Independiente · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CA Independiente favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Platense in 1 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CA Independiente23 matchesPlatense22 matches
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/220.73 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed23/221.18 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goals5/40.85 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots23/2212.5 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target23/224 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession23/2249.8%
6.04 corners/match ●Corners23/224.27 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/82 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2211.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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