Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Newell's Old Boys 2–2 Boca Juniors · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Newell's Old Boys and Boca Juniors drew 2–2.

Shots
916
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.541.62
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newells Old Boys and Boca Juniors drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Newells Old Boys – Boca Juniors): shots 9–16, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.54–1.62, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Boca Juniors's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Boca Juniors's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Newells Old Boys.

2.82 days ▲Rest daysNewells Old Boys · Boca Juniors7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNewells Old BoysBoca JuniorsBaseline
Rest days2.82 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Newells Old Boys have a visible home split

moderate

Newells Old Boys's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match10 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsNewell's Old Boys 9 shots, Boca Juniors 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsNewell's Old Boys 2 shots, Boca Juniors 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.54 xG1.62 xGNewell's Old Boys 0.54 xG, Boca Juniors 1.62 xG
  • Possession40%60%Newell's Old Boys 40%, Boca Juniors 60%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersNewell's Old Boys 5 corners, Boca Juniors 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsNewell's Old Boys 12 fouls, Boca Juniors 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Newell's Old Boys
0Draws
1Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors — Newell's Old Boys · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newell's Old Boys favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Boca Juniors in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newell's Old Boys21 matchesBoca Juniors21 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.81 goals/match
0.65 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.81 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.33 shots/match
42.5%Possession21/21● 60.8%
3.62 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.33 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/91.78 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls21/219.38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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