Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Monumental

River Plate 0–1 Barracas Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Barracas Central won 0–1.

Shots
154
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.570.44
Possession
76%24%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barracas Central beat River Plate 1–0. Recorded in this match (River Plate – Barracas Central): shots 15–4, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.57–0.44, possession 76%–24%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

River Plate show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

River Plate's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsRiver Plate · Barracas Central10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRiver PlateBarracas CentralBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match10 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match14.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

River Plate have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.6% ●PossessionRiver Plate · Barracas Central38.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRiver PlateBarracas CentralBaseline
Possession65.6%38.3%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Barracas Central have a visible away split

moderate

Barracas Central's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match10 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots4 shotsRiver Plate 15 shots, Barracas Central 4 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsRiver Plate 4 shots, Barracas Central 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.57 xG0.44 xGRiver Plate 0.57 xG, Barracas Central 0.44 xG
  • Possession76%24%River Plate 76%, Barracas Central 24%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerRiver Plate 3 corners, Barracas Central 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls21 foulsRiver Plate 8 fouls, Barracas Central 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1River Plate
0Draws
0Barracas Central
Barracas Central — River Plate · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: River Plate favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Barracas Central in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

River Plate21 matchesBarracas Central17 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/170.94 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/170.88 goals/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots21/1710 shots/match
5.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/173.47 shots/match
65.6% ●Possession21/1738.3%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners21/171.94 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards12/112.09 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls21/1712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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