PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Lanús 1–0 San Lorenzo · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús

WLDDL
1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lanús won 1–0.

Shots
2313
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
1.860.84
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lanus beat San Lorenzo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lanus – San Lorenzo): shots 23–13, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 1.86–0.84, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lanus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lanus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Lorenzo have a visible away split

strong

San Lorenzo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.64 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.64 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots13 shotsLanús 23 shots, San Lorenzo 13 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsLanús 10 shots, San Lorenzo 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG0.84 xGLanús 1.86 xG, San Lorenzo 0.84 xG
  • Possession50%50%Lanús 50%, San Lorenzo 50%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersLanús 8 corners, San Lorenzo 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsLanús 15 fouls, San Lorenzo 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lanús
0Draws
0San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo — Lanús · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lanús favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · San Lorenzo in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lanús20 matchesSan Lorenzo20 matches
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.8 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.8 goals/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots20/2010.3 shots/match
4.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.8 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession20/2048.3%
3.75 corners/matchCorners20/20● 3.9 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/122.83 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls20/2013 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsLanúsSan Lorenzo
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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