Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario Central 2–1 Atlético Tucumán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rosario Central won 2–1.

Shots
1816
Shots on target
84
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rosario Central beat Atletico Tucuman 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rosario Central – Atletico Tucuman): shots 18–16, shots on target 8–4, possession 67%–33%, corners 5–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.62 corners/match ●CornersRosario Central · Atletico Tucuman5.42 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRosario CentralAtletico TucumanBaseline
Corners5.62 corners/match5.42 corners/match4.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Atletico Tucuman's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico Tucuman's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rosario Central have a visible home split

moderate

Rosario Central's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots16 shotsRosario Central 18 shots, Atlético Tucumán 16 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsRosario Central 8 shots, Atlético Tucumán 4 shots
  • Possession67%33%Rosario Central 67%, Atlético Tucumán 33%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersRosario Central 5 corners, Atlético Tucumán 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsRosario Central 12 fouls, Atlético Tucumán 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardRosario Central 3 cards, Atlético Tucumán 1 card
  • Passes434 passes212 passesRosario Central 434 passes, Atlético Tucumán 212 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%68%Rosario Central 84%, Atlético Tucumán 68%
  • Shots inside box14 shots10 shotsRosario Central 14 shots, Atlético Tucumán 10 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksRosario Central 1 block, Atlético Tucumán 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesRosario Central 3 saves, Atlético Tucumán 6 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides4 offsidesRosario Central 0 offsides, Atlético Tucumán 4 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rosario Central favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Tucumán in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rosario Central13 matchesAtlético Tucumán12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored13/121.08 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/121.5 goals/match
13.2 shots/matchShots13/1213.4 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/123.75 shots/match
57.5% ●Possession13/1249%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners13/125.42 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards8/103.5 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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