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Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Barracas Central 1–2 Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarmiento won 1–2.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
33
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarmiento Junin beat Barracas Central 2–1. Recorded in this match (Barracas Central – Sarmiento Junin): shots 14–13, shots on target 3–3, possession 47%–53%, corners 5–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barracas Central's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barracas Central's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Barracas Central have a visible home split

moderate

Barracas Central's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.33 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sarmiento Junin have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.3%PossessionBarracas Central · Sarmiento Junin● 49.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarracas CentralSarmiento JuninBaseline
Possession39.3%49.3%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsBarracas Central 14 shots, Sarmiento 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsBarracas Central 3 shots, Sarmiento 3 shots
  • Possession47%53%Barracas Central 47%, Sarmiento 53%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerBarracas Central 5 corners, Sarmiento 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsBarracas Central 12 fouls, Sarmiento 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsBarracas Central 0 cards, Sarmiento 3 cards
  • Passes421 passes486 passesBarracas Central 421 passes, Sarmiento 486 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%85%Barracas Central 85%, Sarmiento 85%
  • Shots inside box10 shots7 shotsBarracas Central 10 shots, Sarmiento 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksBarracas Central 3 blocks, Sarmiento 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesBarracas Central 1 save, Sarmiento 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideBarracas Central 0 offsides, Sarmiento 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barracas Central favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barracas Central12 matchesSarmiento13 matches
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/130.77 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/131 goal/match
9.33 shots/matchShots12/13▲ 10.6 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target12/13▲ 3.77 shots/match
39.3%Possession12/13● 49.3%
1.92 corners/matchCorners12/13● 3.77 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCards9/114.27 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1313.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 2 Apr 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBarracas CentralSarmiento
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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