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Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia 2–0 Rosario Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Rivadavia won 2–0.

Shots
813
Shots on target
43
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independ. Rivadavia beat Rosario Central 2–0. Recorded in this match (Independ. Rivadavia – Rosario Central): shots 8–13, shots on target 4–3, possession 29%–71%, corners 3–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosario Central have a visible away split

moderate

Rosario Central's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rosario Central's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rosario Central's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rosario Central have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.5%PossessionIndepend. Rivadavia · Rosario Central● 56.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIndepend. RivadaviaRosario CentralBaseline
Possession44.5%56.8%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 8 shots, Rosario Central 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 4 shots, Rosario Central 3 shots
  • Possession29%71%Independiente Rivadavia 29%, Rosario Central 71%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersIndependiente Rivadavia 3 corners, Rosario Central 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsIndependiente Rivadavia 14 fouls, Rosario Central 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsIndependiente Rivadavia 0 cards, Rosario Central 2 cards
  • Passes215 passes525 passesIndependiente Rivadavia 215 passes, Rosario Central 525 passes
  • Pass accuracy70%88%Independiente Rivadavia 70%, Rosario Central 88%
  • Shots inside box4 shots10 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 4 shots, Rosario Central 10 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks2 blocksIndependiente Rivadavia 0 blocks, Rosario Central 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesIndependiente Rivadavia 2 saves, Rosario Central 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesIndependiente Rivadavia 1 offside, Rosario Central 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Rosario Central in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia11 matchesRosario Central12 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/121 goal/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/12▲ 0.83 goals/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots11/1212.8 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/124.58 shots/match
44.5%Possession11/12● 56.8%
3.64 corners/matchCorners11/12● 5.67 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1210.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Mar 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaRosario Central
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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