PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo 1–2 CA Independiente · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CA Independiente won 1–2.

Shots
2513
Shots on target
75
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente beat San Lorenzo 2–1. Recorded in this match (San Lorenzo – Independiente): shots 25–13, shots on target 7–5, possession 58%–42%, corners 7–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Lorenzo have a visible home split

moderate

San Lorenzo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

San Lorenzo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Lorenzo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots13 shotsSan Lorenzo 25 shots, CA Independiente 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsSan Lorenzo 7 shots, CA Independiente 5 shots
  • Possession58%42%San Lorenzo 58%, CA Independiente 42%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersSan Lorenzo 7 corners, CA Independiente 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls19 foulsSan Lorenzo 13 fouls, CA Independiente 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsSan Lorenzo 4 cards, CA Independiente 4 cards
  • Passes463 passes346 passesSan Lorenzo 463 passes, CA Independiente 346 passes
  • Pass accuracy83%77%San Lorenzo 83%, CA Independiente 77%
  • Shots inside box16 shots11 shotsSan Lorenzo 16 shots, CA Independiente 11 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks5 blocksSan Lorenzo 7 blocks, CA Independiente 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesSan Lorenzo 3 saves, CA Independiente 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesSan Lorenzo 1 offside, CA Independiente 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Lorenzo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · CA Independiente in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Lorenzo18 matchesCA Independiente18 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.44 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.28 goals/match
10.4 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 4 shots/match
49.4%Possession18/18● 52.7%
4.11 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.94 corners/match
2.91 cards/matchCards11/103 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 01:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSan LorenzoCA Independiente
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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