Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Eva Perón

Sarmiento 1–0 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarmiento won 1–0.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
32
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarmiento Junin beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sarmiento Junin – Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto): shots 12–10, shots on target 3–2, possession 53%–47%, corners 6–8. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sarmiento Junin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarmiento Junin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sarmiento Junin have a visible home split

weak

Sarmiento Junin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sarmiento Junin.

5.07 days ▲Rest daysSarmiento Junin · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto4.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSarmiento JuninEstudiantes de Rio CuartoBaseline
Rest days5.07 days4.98 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsSarmiento 12 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSarmiento 3 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 shots
  • Possession53%47%Sarmiento 53%, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 47%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersSarmiento 6 corners, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsSarmiento 17 fouls, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsSarmiento 4 cards, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 cards
  • Passes346 passes307 passesSarmiento 346 passes, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 307 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%67%Sarmiento 73%, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 67%
  • Shots inside box6 shots5 shotsSarmiento 6 shots, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 5 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockSarmiento 5 blocks, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesSarmiento 2 saves, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideSarmiento 1 offside, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarmiento favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarmiento9 matchesEstudiantes de Río Cuarto8 matches
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/80.38 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/81.5 goals/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots9/810.6 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/82.5 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession9/843.8%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/8● 4.38 corners/match
4.38 cards/matchCards8/72.57 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls9/812.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 4 Mar 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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