PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Independiente Rivadavia 1–1 River Plate · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Rivadavia and River Plate drew 1–1.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
53
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independ. Rivadavia and River Plate drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Independ. Rivadavia – River Plate): shots 12–12, shots on target 5–3, possession 29%–71%, corners 2–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

River Plate show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

River Plate's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsIndepend. Rivadavia · River Plate16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndepend. RivadaviaRiver PlateBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match16 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match9.38 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

River Plate have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionIndepend. Rivadavia · River Plate● 65.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIndepend. RivadaviaRiver PlateBaseline
Possession42.1%65.6%50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Independ. Rivadavia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Independ. Rivadavia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match0.94 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 12 shots, River Plate 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 5 shots, River Plate 3 shots
  • Possession29%71%Independiente Rivadavia 29%, River Plate 71%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersIndependiente Rivadavia 2 corners, River Plate 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsIndependiente Rivadavia 13 fouls, River Plate 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsIndependiente Rivadavia 0 cards, River Plate 3 cards
  • Passes219 passes582 passesIndependiente Rivadavia 219 passes, River Plate 582 passes
  • Pass accuracy66%85%Independiente Rivadavia 66%, River Plate 85%
  • Shots inside box8 shots4 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 8 shots, River Plate 4 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksIndependiente Rivadavia 2 blocks, River Plate 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesIndependiente Rivadavia 2 saves, River Plate 4 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides4 offsidesIndependiente Rivadavia 4 offsides, River Plate 4 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · River Plate in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia8 matchesRiver Plate8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed8/81 goal/match
13.4 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 16 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.13 shots/match
42.1%Possession8/8● 65.6%
3.63 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.75 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/82.88 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/812.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Mar 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaRiver Plate
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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