PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano 3–1 Atlético Tucumán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Belgrano won 3–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
42
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Belgrano Cordoba beat Atletico Tucuman 3–1. Recorded in this match (Belgrano Cordoba – Atletico Tucuman): shots 11–11, shots on target 4–2, possession 50%–50%, corners 0–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico Tucuman have a visible away split

weak

Atletico Tucuman's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atletico Tucuman's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atletico Tucuman's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.29 goals/match0.86 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsBelgrano 11 shots, Atlético Tucumán 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsBelgrano 4 shots, Atlético Tucumán 2 shots
  • Possession50%50%Belgrano 50%, Atlético Tucumán 50%
  • Corners0 corners5 cornersBelgrano 0 corners, Atlético Tucumán 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsBelgrano 12 fouls, Atlético Tucumán 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardBelgrano 3 cards, Atlético Tucumán 1 card
  • Passes381 passes364 passesBelgrano 381 passes, Atlético Tucumán 364 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%78%Belgrano 76%, Atlético Tucumán 78%
  • Shots inside box7 shots5 shotsBelgrano 7 shots, Atlético Tucumán 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksBelgrano 3 blocks, Atlético Tucumán 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveBelgrano 1 save, Atlético Tucumán 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideBelgrano 0 offsides, Atlético Tucumán 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Belgrano favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Tucumán in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Belgrano7 matchesAtlético Tucumán7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.29 goals/match
0.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
12.4 shots/matchShots7/712.3 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.86 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession7/750.3%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.57 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards7/73.29 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Feb 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBelgranoAtlético Tucumán
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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