PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Libertadores de America

CA Independiente 1–1 Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CA Independiente and Vélez Sarsfield drew 1–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente and Velez Sarsfield drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Independiente – Velez Sarsfield): shots 13–12, shots on target 4–5, possession 53%–47%, corners 3–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Independiente, Velez Sarsfield.

3.9 days ▲Rest daysIndependiente · Velez Sarsfield4.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIndependienteVelez SarsfieldBaseline
Rest days3.9 days4.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Independiente show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Independiente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsIndependiente · Velez Sarsfield9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndependienteVelez SarsfieldBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.75 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match17 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Independiente have a visible home split

weak

Independiente's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsCA Independiente 13 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCA Independiente 4 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 5 shots
  • Possession53%47%CA Independiente 53%, Vélez Sarsfield 47%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersCA Independiente 3 corners, Vélez Sarsfield 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsCA Independiente 9 fouls, Vélez Sarsfield 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardCA Independiente 1 card, Vélez Sarsfield 1 card
  • Passes337 passes296 passesCA Independiente 337 passes, Vélez Sarsfield 296 passes
  • Pass accuracy72%59%CA Independiente 72%, Vélez Sarsfield 59%
  • Shots inside box8 shots12 shotsCA Independiente 8 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 12 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksCA Independiente 5 blocks, Vélez Sarsfield 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesCA Independiente 5 saves, Vélez Sarsfield 4 saves
  • Offsides7 offsides3 offsidesCA Independiente 7 offsides, Vélez Sarsfield 3 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CA Independiente favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vélez Sarsfield in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CA Independiente4 matchesVélez Sarsfield4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.75 goals/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/49.75 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4 shots/match
45.8%Possession4/4● 52%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners4/45 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 02:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCA IndependienteVélez Sarsfield
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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