Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.140.67
Expected goals
1.440.74
Shots
14.510.8
Possession
55.6%48.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: san Lorenzo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: estudiantes de La Plata's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

San Lorenzo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Lorenzo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estudiantes de La Plata show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estudiantes de La Plata's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsEstudiantes de La Plata · San Lorenzo10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstudiantes de La PlataSan LorenzoBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

San Lorenzo have a visible away split

moderate

San Lorenzo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes de La Plata favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · San Lorenzo in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes de La Plata28 matchesSan Lorenzo30 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/300.67 goals/match
0.68 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/300.87 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.74 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/3010.8 shots/match
5.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/303.7 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession28/3048.3%
4.18 corners/match ●Corners28/303.9 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls28/3012.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Estudiantes de La Plata
0Draws
1San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo — Estudiantes de La Plata · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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