Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.080.71
Expected goals
1.280.8
Shots
1410.7
Possession
55.7%49.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: san Lorenzo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Alongside it: estudiantes de La Plata's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Estudiantes de La Plata's recent record differs from the season

weak

Estudiantes de La Plata's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Lorenzo have a visible away split

moderate

San Lorenzo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estudiantes de La Plata show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estudiantes de La Plata's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsEstudiantes de La Plata · San Lorenzo10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstudiantes de La PlataSan LorenzoBaseline
Shots14 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes de La Plata favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · San Lorenzo in 3

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes de La Plata26 matchesSan Lorenzo28 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/280.71 goals/match
0.65 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/280.75 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/100.8 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots26/2810.7 shots/match
5.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/283.75 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession26/2849.1%
4.04 corners/match ●Corners26/283.82 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls26/2812.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Estudiantes de La Plata
0Draws
1San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo — Estudiantes de La Plata · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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