Serie B · 2026

Atlético Goianiense 1–2 Náutico · Serie B

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Náutico won 1–2.

Shots
119
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.370.75
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Náutico beat Atlético Goianiense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Náutico): shots 11–9, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.37–0.75, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsAtlético Goianiense 11 shots, Náutico 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsAtlético Goianiense 2 shots, Náutico 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.75 xGAtlético Goianiense 1.37 xG, Náutico 0.75 xG
  • Possession49%51%Atlético Goianiense 49%, Náutico 51%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerAtlético Goianiense 7 corners, Náutico 1 corner
  • Fouls21 fouls18 foulsAtlético Goianiense 21 fouls, Náutico 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Rest before fixture · Both teams: 10.1 days
  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match

Atlético Goianiense / Náutico

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 2 Apr 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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