PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Estudiantes de La Plata 2–1 Boca Juniors · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Estudiantes de La Plata won 2–1.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
73
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estudiantes de La Plata beat Boca Juniors 2–1. Recorded in this match (Estudiantes de La Plata – Boca Juniors): shots 12–10, shots on target 7–3, possession 34%–66%, corners 5–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Boca Juniors.

5.09 days ▲Rest daysEstudiantes de La Plata · Boca Juniors3.16 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEstudiantes de La PlataBoca JuniorsBaseline
Rest days5.09 days3.16 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Boca Juniors show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Boca Juniors's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstudiantes de La PlataBoca JuniorsBaseline
Shots—13 shots/match10.8 shots/match
Shots against—10 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 12 shots, Boca Juniors 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 7 shots, Boca Juniors 3 shots
  • Possession34%66%Estudiantes de La Plata 34%, Boca Juniors 66%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersEstudiantes de La Plata 5 corners, Boca Juniors 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls8 foulsEstudiantes de La Plata 15 fouls, Boca Juniors 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
5.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.16 days

Estudiantes de La Plata / Boca Juniors

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEstudiantes de La PlataBoca Juniors
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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