PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Talleres 1–3 Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vélez Sarsfield won 1–3.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.771.05
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vélez Sarsfield beat Talleres 3–1. Recorded in this match (Talleres – Vélez Sarsfield): shots 20–11, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.77–1.05, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Talleres's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Talleres's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsTalleres 20 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsTalleres 6 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG1.05 xGTalleres 1.77 xG, Vélez Sarsfield 1.05 xG
  • Possession63%37%Talleres 63%, Vélez Sarsfield 37%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersTalleres 8 corners, Vélez Sarsfield 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls6 foulsTalleres 10 fouls, Vélez Sarsfield 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Talleres
0Draws
1Vélez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield — Talleres · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Talleres favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Vélez Sarsfield in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Talleres19 matchesVélez Sarsfield21 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/21▲ 1.19 goals/match
0.95 goals/matchGoals allowed19/21▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.16 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots19/2111.8 shots/match
4.21 shots/matchShots on target19/214.05 shots/match
53.9%Possession19/21● 54%
4.95 corners/match ●Corners19/214.29 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls19/2110.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTalleresVélez Sarsfield
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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